Ivanov D.J., Klevtsov D.V., Savin A.G. Decision Making

Samara: Samara National Research University, 2019. — 84 c. — ISBN: 978-5-7883-1387-0.The tutorial "Decision Making" is recommended for Master’s degree students, who raise the skill level. It can also be useful for teachers, specialists of organizations, business representatives and those, who wants to get acquainted with the modern methodology and methods of decision-making. The course presents fundamental aspects of technology and process of developing and making decisions in different systems, considers the modeling in the Decision Theory, interprets tasks, which are focused on the achievement of goals by contributing the formation students` systematic and clear thinking in the university educational process.
This tutorial was created for students enrolled in the Master Program on 38.04.02 Management.Technology and process of developing and making decisions.
Decision-making in economic-organizing control systems.
The model of the organizational control system.
Classification of the control systems.
The formalization of the decision-making problems.
Management tasks statement.
Constraints.
The mathematical formalization rule.
Control criteria classification.
Multicriteriality in decision -making problems.
Formulation of the linear programming problems. Task solution by the graphical.
interpretation method.
Basic task interpretation.
Modeling in the Decision Theory.
Analysis of management decisions sensitivity.
Sensitivity coefficient.
Loss function.
Analysis of management decisions stability.
The notion of the reference basis.
Decision-making under uncertainty.
Uncertainty in decision -making tasks.
Guaranteed result method.
Statistical modeling method.
Data forming method.
Decision-making in the active organizational systems.
The task in case of the complete awareness of the principal.
Properties of the proportional allocation mechanism Ri.
Removal of the principal’s incomplete awareness by the guaranteed result method.
Removal of the principal’s incomplete awareness using data forming method.
Nash Equilibrium.
Organization of the controlling in horizontal systems.
Description of the organizational systems functioning models. Mechanism of.
organizational systems functioning.
Decision-making in weakly-formalizable systems.
Decisions table.
Wald Criterion.
Maximization of the average.
Probabilistic approach.
Expert examinations method.
Paired valuations method.
Guide for the workshops.
Theme 1. Feasible region in management tasks.Example.
Task.
Theme (continuation). Optimization of mixing semis (in refining).
Example.
Task.
Theme. Formulation and solution of optimization decision -making tasks. Geometric and economic interpretation.Example.
Task.
Theme. Analysis of management decisions sensitivity. The task of the resources substitution.Example.
Task.
Theme. Analysis of management decisions stability.Example.
Task.
Theme. Business game. Simulation modeling of the two-level organizational system functioning under uncertainty.Task.
Theme. Multicriteriality in controlling.Example.
Task.
Theme. Coordinated controlling mechanisms in horizontally-organized systems.Task.
Task.
Theme. Incentives in organizational systems (in healthcare).Task.